Programmed Decisions
Decision making in response to incurring opportunities and problems.
Performance Program
A standard sequence of behaviors that organizational members follow routinely when making a programmed decision whenever they encounter a specific type of problem or opportunity.
Classic decision making model
A prescriptive approach based on the assumptions that the decision maker has all the necessary information and will choose the best possible solution or response.
According to the classical model, a decision maker should choose how to respond to opportunities and problems by following these 4 steps:
1. list all the alternative courses of action from which the final decision will be made: these alternative represent different responses to the problem or the opportunity.
2.list the consequences of each alternative: the consequences are what would occur if a given alternative is selected.3.considering personal preferences for each alternative and its set of consequences rank the alternatives from most preferred to least preferred.
4. select the alternative that will result in the most preferred set of consequences.
Administrative Decision Making Model
A descriptive approach stressing that incomplete information, psychological and sociological processes, and the decision maker's cognitive abilities affect decision making and that decision makers often choose satisfactory, not optimal, solutions.
March and Simons stress that __________ and __________ affect decision making.
incomplete information; decision maker's limited cognitive abilities.
Satisficing
searching for and choosing an acceptable response or solution, not necessarily the best possible one.
Bounded rationality
an ability to reason that is constrained by the limitations of the human mind.
heuristics
rules of thumb that simplify decision making.
Availability Heuristics
The rule of thumb that says an event that is easy to remember is likely to have occurred more frequently than an event that is difficult to remember.
Respresentativeness Heuristics
The rule of thumb that says similar kinds of events that happened in the past are a good predictor of the likelihood of an upcoming event.
Base Rate
The actual frequency with which an event occurs.
Anchoring and Adjustment Schedule
The rule of thumb that says that decisions about how big or small an amount (such as salary, budget, or level of costs) should be made by making adjustments from some initial amount.
Escalation of Commitment
The tendency to invest additional time, money, or effort into what are essentially bad decisions or unproductive courses of action.
Sunk Costs
Costs that cannot be reversed and will not be affected by subsequent decision making.
Biases resulting from escalation of commitment and the use of heuristics can result in ________ decision making at all levels in an organization.
poor
The use of ________ can often help reduce the effect of biases and heuristics on decision making.
IT systems
Although diverse work groups can improve decision making, what problem can arise?
Because of their different points of view due to varied backgrounds, they can sometimes find it difficult to get along with each other.
What are some advantages of group decision making?
enhanced memory, capability of error detection, and greater decision acceptance.
What are some disadvantages of group decision making?
the amount of time to make a decisions -- groups can seldom make decisions as quickly as individuals, the potential for group think -- a pattern of faulty decision making that occurs when cohesive groups whose members strive to reach common agreement or understanding and to achieve this they do not accurately process important information relevant to the decision and are willing to gloss over or suppress information that might lead them to disagree.
What are some ways to prevent group think?
encourage members to be critical of proposed alternatives, raise any doubts they may have, and to accept criticism.leader should refrain from expressing any opinion until the group has had a chance to consider all alternatives.leader encourages members to gather information pertaining to a decision from people outside the group and seek outsiders' perspectives on the group's ideas.leader assigns one or two members to play the role of devil's advocateif an important decision is being made and time allows, after a group has made a decision, the group leader holds a second meeting. During the second meeting, member can raise any doubts of misgivings they might have about the course of actions the group has chosen.
Consequences of group decision making
- diffusion of responsibility: the group as a whole rather than one individual is accountable for the decision. If the decision was a good one, the group gets credit; if the decision was a poor one, a single individual is not blamed.- group polarization: the tendency to make more extreme decisions as a group than do individuals. This is due to diffusion of responsibility.- potential for conflict: different sets of skills and expertise as well ass backgrounds and experiences always creates the potential for conflict within groups.
The phenomenon of group think is more likely to occur is ________ situations.
crisis
Brainstorming
A spontaneous, participative decision-making technique that groups use to generate a wide range of alternatives from which to make a decision.
Production Blocking
Loss of productivity in brainstorming groups due to various distractions and limitations inherent brain storming.
The Nominal Group Technique
A decision making technique that includes the following steps: group members generate ideas on their own and write them down, group member communicate their ideas to the rest of the group and each idea is then discussed and critically evaluated by the group.
Delphi Technique
a series of questionnaires are sent to experts on the issue at hand, though they never actually meet face to face.
Group Decision-Making Techniques Used in Total Quality Management
benchmarking - selecting a high-performing group and using this group as a modelempowerment - the process of giving employees throughout an organization the authority to make decisions and be responsible for their outcomes.
Organizational Learning
the process through which managers seeks to increase organization members' desire and ability to make decisions that continuously raise organizational efficiency and effectiveness.
Types of Organizational Learning
exploration: learning that involves organizational members searching for and experimenting with new kinds or forms of organizational behaviors and procedures to increase effectiveness.exploitation: learning that involves organizational members finding ways to refine and improve existing organizational behaviors and procedures to increase effectiveness.learning organization: an organization that purposefully takes steps to enhance and maximize the potential for explorative and exploitative organizational learning to take place.
Principles of Organizational Learning
personal mastery: at the individual level, managers need to do all they can to facilitate the learning of new skills, norms, ad values so that individuals can increase their own personal ability to help build the organization's core competencies.complex mental models: as part of attaining personal mastery, and to give employees a deeper unerstanidng of what is involved in a particular activity, organizations need to encourage employees to develop and use complex mental models that challenge them to find new or better ways to perform a task. team learning: at a group level, managers need to encourage learning by promoting the use of various kinds of groups -- such as self-managed groups or cross-functional teams so that individuals can share of pool their skills and abilities to solve a problem.building a shared vision: one of Senge's principles for designing a learning organization emphasizes the importance of building shared vision. Building a shared vision involves creating an ongoing frame of reference or mental model that all of the organization's member use to frame problems or opportunities that bind them to an organization.system thinking: Senge's last principle of organizational learning, systems thinking, emphasizes that in order to create a learning organization, managers must recognize how learning at the individual and group levels affect each other.