Key Issue 1
where is the world's population distributed
Where is most of the world's population distributed?
two-thirds of the world's inhabitants are clustered in East Asia, South Asia, Southeast Asia, and Western Europe
populous countries
Brazil, Canada, China, Indonesia, Russia, US
Similarities among largely populated countries
live near ocean or river (2/3 of world lives within 500 km of an ocean, 4/5 live within 800 km)
occupy low-lying areas with fertile soil
temperate climate
Northern Hemisphere between 10 and 55 degrees latitude
East Asia
one-fifth live here
includes eastern China, islands of Japan, Korean peninsula, Taiwan
5/6 of people in this region live in People's republic of China
in Japan and South Korea population is clustered around large metro areas
china: 2/3 work as farmers
japan and koreans: 3/4 industrial or service jobs
South Asia
1/5 of world's population
includes India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka
India contains 3/4 of South Asia population
most important concentration of people lives along a 1500 km corridor from Lahore, Pakistan through India and Bangladesh to Bay of Bengal
concentrated along the plains of the Indus and Ganges rivers
most people in south Asia are farmers
South East Asia
fourth largest
series of islands that lie between Indian and Pacific oceans
Java, Sumatra, Borneo, sulawesi, Philippines
Indonesia is 4th most populated country with 13,677 islands
clustered along river valleys
most are farmers
Europe
3rd largest population
western europe, eastern europe, european portion of Russia
1/9 of world's population
less than 20% are farmers
near coalfields
rely on imported food
Northeastern US/Southeastern Canada
largest population in western hemisphere
from boston to newport news, VI and westward along great lakes to chicago
2% of world's population lives here
ecumene
portion of earth's surface occupied by permanent human settlement
dry lands
areas too dry for farming
20% of earth's surface
two largest lie in Northern Hemisphere between 15 and 50 degrees north latitude and in the Southern Hemisphere between 20 and 50 south latitude
largest desert region is known by several names: Sahara, Arabian, Thar, Takla Makan, and Gobi
deserts lack sufficient water to grow crops
possibilism: people construct irrigation
contain world's oil reserves
growth in settlements in deserts
wet lands
receive very high precipitation
near the equator between 20 degrees north and south latitude
interiors of South America, Central Africa, and southeast Asia
rainfall averages more than 1.25-2.25 meters per year
depleats nutrients from soil, hinders agriculture
precipitation may be concentrated into specific times of year
cold lands
land near south and north poles
perpetually covered with ice/ground is frozen
not much life
high lands
very few people live at very high elevation
1/2 of Switzerland is more than 1,000 meters above sea level and 5% of its population lives there
exceptions: areas in Latin America and Africa; Mexico City
arithmetic density
total number of people divided by total land area
physiological density
number of people supported by a unit area of arable land
agricultural density
ratio of the number of farmers to the amount of arable land
Key Issue 2
where has the world's population increased?
Crude birth rate (CBR)
total number of live births in a year for every 1000 people alive in the society
Crude death rate (CDR)
total number of deaths in a year for every 1000 people alive in the society
Natural increase rate (NIR)
percentage by which a population grows in a year (subtract CDR from CBR after converting them to percentages)
should have a percentage answer
World NIR
about 1.2%
lower today than the peak in 1963 of 2.2%
about 80 million are being added annually
virtually 100% of natural increase is clustered in LDCs
doubling time
the number of years needed to double the population
total fertility rate (TFR)
the number of births in a society
average number of births a woman will have throughout her life
for the world the TFR is 2.7
varies between MDCs and LDCs
infant mortality rate (IMR)
annual number of deaths of infants under 1 year of age
compared total live births
expressed as the number of deaths among infants per 1000 births
highest rates are in poorer countries of sub-saharan africa
lowest rates in western europe
IMR reflects upon countries health care system
life expectancy
measures the average number of years a newborn infant can expect to live at current mortality levels
late 70s in western europe
forties in africa
Key Issue 3
why is population increasing at different rates in different countries?
demographic transition
changes in natural increase, fertility, mortality rates
Stage 1: Low Growth
most of human existence on Earth has been characterized by Stage 1
crude birth and death rates varied greatly from one year to another, but overall were very high
NIR was essentially 0
people depended on hunting and gathering for food
8000 bc population began to grow by several thousand per year
between 8000 bc-1750 ad population increased from 5 to 800 million (caused by agricultural revolution when people domesticated animals and food)
no more countries are in stage 1
Stage 2: High Growth
10,000 years after the agricultural revolution world population grew at a modest pace
after 1750 ad population suddenly began to grow ten times faster than in the past
average annual increase jumped from .05 to .5 percent
grew by about 5 million in 1800
sudden burst of population growth occurred because several countries moved on to stage 2
CDR suddenly plummets and CBR remains roughly the same as stage 2
because difference in CDR and CBR is high, NIR is high
two parts of stage 2: accelerating population growth, then growth rate begins to slow
countries entered stage 2 after 1750 because of Industrial revolution (began in England and spread over Europe and to North America- conjunction of major industrial technological improvements like the steam engine and transformed the process of manufacturing goods and bringing them to market)
communities become healthier places to live
Industrial revolution improved sanitation and personal hygiene and fed the rapidly growing population
Europe/North America transitioned to stage 2 in 1800
Latin America, Africa, and Asia did not until 1950 (were pushed by medical revolution that eliminated causes of death in LDCs like smallpox vaccine)
Stage 3: Moderate Growth
country moves from stage 2 to 3 when CBR begins to drop sharply and CDR continues to fall
population continues to grow, but more modestly
Europe/North America moved during 1st half of 20th century
Asia and Latin america moved in recent years
much of Africa in stage 2 still
CBR drops because people choose to have fewer children because of declining mortality rate
societies more likely to live in cities and work in offices, shops, or factories rather than on farms
Stage 4: Low Growth
CBR equals CDR and NIR approaches zero (zero population growth or ZPG)
ZPG may occur when CBR is higher than CDR because number of females who can have babies varies
TFR of 2.1 produces ZPG
Europe and North America in stage 4
women in stage 4 enter workforce
access to wider variety of birth control
some eastern european countries have negative NIRs (legacy of communism)
countries in stage 4 have completed a cycle
population pyramids
country's population displayed by age and gender on a bar graph
shows percentage of population in 5 year age groups
shape of a pyramid is determined by CBR
dependency ratio
the number of people who are too young/old to work compared to the number of people in productive years
0-14 and 65+ are dependents
sex ratio
number of males per hundred females
varies among countries
world ratio is 102:100
europe/north america is 95:100
Key Issue 4
why might the world face an overpopulation problem?
Malthus on Overpopulation
thomas malthus was an english economist
argued that world's rate of population increase was far outrunning the development of food supplies
population growing more quickly than food supplies
today: 1 person, 1 unit of food
25 years from now: 2 persons, 2 units of food
50: 4 persons, 3 units of food
75: 8 persons, 4 units of food
100: 16 persons, 5 units of food
Neo-malthusians
argue that two characteristics make mathus's thesis more frightening than when first made
in malthus's time only a few wealthy countries had entered stage 2
malthus failed to anticipate that poor countries would have the most rapid population growth because of transfer of medical technologies not wealth from MDCs
world population is outgrowing resources other than food
Mathus's critics
mathus believes world's resources are fixed
humans have ability to choose actions that increase food supply
larger population could simulate economic growth and therefore more food
marxists maintain that there is no relationship between population growth and food supply
Lowering CBR
economic development- women attending school
distribution of contraceptives
epidemiologic transition
causes of death in each demographic transition
Stage 1: natural checks, pestilence and famine (black plague)
Stage 2: pandemics (cholera)
Stage 3: degenerative/human-created diseases (cardiovascular disease and cancer)
Stage 4: delayed degenerative disease (improving with lifestyle changes)
Possible stage 5
consequence would be higher CDR
evolution
infectious diseases constantly evolve and get better
poverty
TB is still a major cause of death in LDCs
improved travel
easily transfer diseases
AIDS is most lethal epidemic in recent history